Will Roofing Prices Drop in 2025? Scottsdale Homeowners Forecast

Here’s what everyone’s asking: Are roofing prices finally going to drop in 2025? After years of rising costs from supply shortages, inflation, and labor demand, many Scottsdale homeowners are hoping this year brings some relief. Let’s look at what’s really happening with roofing prices in the Valley.

In this post: We’ll break down current roofing price trends, what’s driving them, and what Scottsdale homeowners can expect over the next 12 months. Plus, a few insider tips for saving money even if prices don’t dip much.

Local insight: At Sky Shield Roofing Company, we’ve already noticed subtle price shifts — not huge drops, but a stabilization after three years of steady increases. Material suppliers are catching up, but labor costs in Arizona remain high. Let’s unpack that.

What’s Been Driving High Roofing Prices Since 2020

• Material shortages: Supply chain disruptions during and after COVID caused asphalt, tile, and metal prices to surge.
• Labor shortages: Skilled roofers are in high demand — especially in hot-weather states like Arizona where fewer people want to work on roofs in 110° heat.
• Inflation and fuel costs: Transporting heavy materials across the state adds significant expense.
• Insurance and permit costs: Increased premiums and city fees also bumped up pricing over time.

What’s Changing in 2025

According to regional data from roofing suppliers and construction indexes, prices in the Southwest — including Scottsdale and Phoenix — have mostly stabilized. Tile and asphalt shingle prices are expected to stay flat or drop slightly (1–3%) in 2025, while metal roofing and foam systems may continue to rise modestly.

In other words: no big drop, but no major hike either. That’s actually good news for homeowners planning replacements this year — consistency means you can budget with confidence.

Why Scottsdale’s Market Is Different

Local demand stays strong here because of our weather. Between monsoon storms, intense UV exposure, and constant new construction, Scottsdale roofing crews stay booked year-round. Even if material prices ease up, labor rates will likely stay firm simply due to high demand for skilled work.

How to Save on a Roof Replacement in 2025

• Book early: Prices often rise mid-summer when monsoons hit. Schedule in late winter or early spring to lock in lower rates.
• Ask about material options: Some brands offer rebates or lower-cost equivalents that still perform great in desert climates.
• Get multiple bids: Compare at least two licensed Scottsdale roofers — but make sure each quote includes the same materials and scope.
• Check your insurance: If damage is weather-related, you might qualify for partial coverage even if the roof’s old.

Should You Wait for Prices to Drop?

Probably not. With costs leveling off and supply chains improving, waiting another year may only delay necessary repairs and increase risk of leaks or heat damage. Roof prices rarely fall sharply — and small savings aren’t worth the risk of structural issues or water intrusion during storm season.

What We’re Seeing Locally

Our Scottsdale clients in early 2025 are seeing quotes similar to late 2024 — roughly $10–$15 per sq. ft. for shingles and $12–$18 for tile. The difference? Slightly faster material delivery times and improved warranty options from suppliers. The market’s steady, not sliding — and that’s not a bad thing.

Final Thoughts

So, will prices drop in 2025? Maybe a little — but not dramatically. For Scottsdale homeowners, the best move is to plan your project before peak heat season and choose a contractor who’s upfront about materials and timelines. Stability means predictability, and that’s valuable in itself.

Need a transparent 2025 quote? Get started with our Instant Quote tool or call Sky Shield Roofing Company for a free inspection. For more info on pricing, insurance coverage, and roof planning, see our Scottsdale Roofing FAQs.